No horse from Japan has ever won the Kentucky Derby, but that streak could end on Saturday, according to Yu. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. See who else to fade here.Īnother shocker: Yu is high on Derma Sotogake, who is 7-1 in the updated 2023 Kentucky Derby odds. She is not using Tapit Trice in any of her 2023 Kentucky Derby bets. "He's very likely to drop way back and go wide around the far turn," Yu told SportsLine. Jockey Luis Saez likely will have trouble guiding the colt to the outside, where he likes to run. It could prove difficult for Tapit Trice to extend his winning streak from the No. In Pool 5 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager last year, she suggested a play on All Other 3-Year-Olds, which cashed at a whopping 18-1 when Rich Strike won the Derby. In a wide-open Kentucky Derby in 2021, she gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1. Yu also has tremendous handicapping chops. She also is married to Santa Anita-based trainer Ryan Hanson. Prior to her television career, she worked for trainers Steve Asmussen and Ron Moquett. An on-air host and reporter who has provided racing analysis for TVG, HRTV and the Breeders' Cup, Yu has spent a lifetime in racing. With a wide-open field of 18 horses set to leave the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see the horse racing predictions from racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu before making any 2023 Kentucky Derby picks.įew people in racing are as well-connected as Yu. The 2023 Kentucky Derby post time is set for 6:57 p.m. They are both listed at 9-2 in the 2023 Kentucky Derby odds. Tapit Trice, who also is one of Pletcher's entries on Saturday, slides into the co-favorite spot with Angel of Empire, trained by Brad Cox. Forte, trained by Todd Pletcher, was listed as the morning-line favorite to win the 149th installment of "The Run for the Roses" but he scratched Saturday morning due to injury concerns. In soccer, this is typically displayed in what is called a three-way line."The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports" are closing in on us quickly as the 2023 Kentucky Derby takes place Saturday at Churchill Downs. Sports like soccer and formerly hockey frequently have ties. That’s one of the upsides of betting moneyline.
Standard point spread bets won’t offer odds like that. Anyone who put down money on Oral Roberts on the moneyline would have won nine times their bet. For example, in the 2021 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, No. However, betting on underdogs on the moneyline can have big payouts. The risk/reward for betting on Alabama -10000 against Duke may not entice many bettors. So if you find a spread is -7 and the moneyline on the same team is only -300, there might be value there. For example, an NFL team favored by seven points is typically somewhere around -350 on the moneyline. Hockey, soccer, and baseball won’t often see spreads of more than one or two, so moneyline bets and the wider variety of odds that come with them become more appealing.Ī more advanced technique is to see how the spread and the moneyline are correlated. The correlation between the two types of bets is true across all sports but applies most in higher-scoring sports like football and basketball. Point spreads exist as a way to create a competitive, balanced bet because almost everyone would expect Alabama to beat Duke (and they did, 42-3). In that game, Alabama was favored by 34 points. You won’t see Alabama at -10000 against Duke on the moneyline and only favored by 10 points against the spread unless someone made a big mistake at a sportsbook. There’s a clear correlation between moneyline and point spread lines. Games like these with such an obvious favorite sometimes won’t even get listed at sportsbooks. So if you bet $100 on Alabama, you’d have won a single dollar. The Crimson Tide were -10000 on the moneyline while Duke was +2000. That’s even more true for baseball, where results are less predictable on an individual game basis.Ī more extreme example is Alabama’s 2019 season opener against Duke. Most games will see closer odds between the two teams. These odds are somewhat extreme for football, given the polar opposite talent level of the teams in the standings. If someone put $100 on the Chiefs, they would win $28.57 in profit. Conversely, a bettor on the Bears would make $245 in profit if they bet $100. The -350 odds mean a bettor would have to bet $350 to win $100. In the above example, the Kansas City Chiefs are a strong favorite against the Chicago Bears.
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